It’s contagion all over the place already. So many are asking if the wipeout of two banks, including the nation’s 16th-largest, is a sign of contagion that the worries have caused US Treasurer Janet Yellen to assure the nation again and again that the banks are more solid than ever and that the Treasury …

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Federal Reserve's Great Recovery Rewind is reducing reserves banks hold as protection against runs.

Just when you have figured out what you’re going to write about at the start of day, along comes major morning news that sweeps your plans away. Today, the news changed more quickly than I could write the introduction to this article. I had to rewrite it and the headline several times after I published the article!

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David Rydevik (email: david.rydevikgmail.com), Stockholm, Sweden., Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

As we’ve all heard many times, history never repeats exactly. This time around, commercial real-estate is where all the naked swimmers are showing up, and the big reveal has arrived almost overnight like a tsunami, sucking all the water out of the bay. carrying more than a few swimmers out with it.

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How many times in the last three years has George Orwell’s 1984 towered like a tombstone over democracy and basic human freedoms right here in the US? This week the echoes of goose-stepping Soviet boots could be heard in the halls of Florida’s state legislature, and they were being worn by one particular Republican, Florida […]

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By Marcosleal (Own work) [CC BY-SA 3.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

Not all these voices are “great” as in “wise,” but some are that, too. What follows are some of the words from a couple of big economic thinkers who have predicted big crashes in the past and one major establishment voice who, all of last year, has been contradicting the predictions of his big colleagues.

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Market Morons Finally Forced to Face Reality

Posted February 28, 2023 By David Haggith
Celebrate because the Epocalypse is here!

Investors have been slower than a tank of turtles swimming in molasses when it comes to grasping reality, but they may be getting the message on inflation and the Fed’s fight ahead at last. That said, one should never underestimate the resolve of people to enshrine their wishes as unholy doctrines in order to continue chasing the phantasms of their greed….

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Yes, this is for real –the existence of the story, that is, not the cause of events it describes. It was published in America’s newspaper of popular choice — USA Today — and carried in various forms by other publishers. The story is alarmingly titled, “‘Never-ending drought emergency’: Italy’s iconic Venice canals have dried up.“

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The Wall Street prophets of profits have moved to a higher level of highs as the opiate smoke circles their brains. They have shifted their dialectic from the US economy making a “soft landing” to a new “no-landing” prediction. By this they are claiming, in all their flash-and-shine prose, that the Fed may be a miracle worker, able to keep on fighting inflation while also levitating the economy. In other words, news of higher inflation made everything a little bit better.

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Ltoinel, CC BY 3.0 , via Wikimedia Commons

This was one of those days where every news headline that went into The Daily Doom this morning made me say, “Of course it did!” — not in the approving kind of way, but in the way you say it as you roll your eyes because you see that, yes, the bread did land jelly-side-down […]

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The big news carried in The Daily Doom today was recession after recession and inflation after inflation. They’re both back (or “back to back”), and boy are they mad! This year’s big predictions on The Great Recession Blog appear to be lining up to start tearing things up this week as a nice little gooey Valentine’s surprise that ain’t yo’ mama’s box o’ chocolates!

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Of course, Biden’s State of the Union Speech will include all kinds of bragging about the economy, as every president’s SOTU speech does. So, we’ll ignore all of that and look at the direction the economy is actually headed, using recent metrics in a rapid-fire revelation that looks like this:

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Stock investors don’t believe Powell because the Fed lost most of its credibility in recent years by promising it could do quantitative tightening on autopilot in its long-awaited and feared balance-sheet unwind, which crashed stocks back in 2018. Next it slammed the brakes on QT in a Fed faceplant because it had also crushed bank reserves, which the Fed, more than any entity on the earth, is supposed to understand and manage.

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