The Great Recession Blog

They awakened the sleeping giant, the great middle class of America. On this historic night, the average citizens of the United States roared and joined Brexit in voting against globalism and in favor of nationalism. To empower Trump, the middle class also handed him a completely Republican-controlled congress. They tore down President Barrack Obama’s legacy. […]

Nothing is more shameless in a bedazzling sort of way than rich banksters standing on the public curb with their hands out. First, we had the admission this past week by a major French bank that Italian banks are so sick (and so too big to fail) they could cause systemic banking failure throughout Europe if not bailed out […]

Brexit — the second major landslide in the Year of the Epocalypse — has bankers all over the world scrambling to pick up and prop up their crumbled facades this week. This is one more jolt in the developing global economic collapse that I predicted for 2016.

At long last the tyranny of the global financial elite has been slammed good and hard…. The British people have rejected the arrogant rule of the EU superstate and the tyranny of its unelected courts, commissions and bureaucratic overlords…. Smaller government—–at least in geography—–is being given another chance. And that’s a very good thing because more localized […]

This year, I predicted that Greece would default on its debt, that it would strike a deal with its european counterparts in the Eurozone, that the deal would lead to public riots later in the year, which would lead to Greece again facing a Grexit in the fall, and that Greece would ultimately leave the euro this […]

The deal force-fed to Greece by the Germans guarantees Grexit 2015. Look at all that this deal has embedded into its terms, and you’ll see how a Grexit is now assured. This new eurodeal creates all the chemistry necessary for an explosion. Yet, the stock markets rose today because people are excited that, at last, a deal is […]

I start the year by ending my blog in fulfillment of my bet, so this will be my last post, even as I lay out my 2015 economic predictions, which I think will be my best to date. Last year, I predicted that the economy would become particularly volatile in the fall — especially the U.S. stock […]

Yes, the economic headwinds all over the world are growing, and a subconscious awareness is spreading that there is no recovery. It is now starting to look like the stock market is banging its head on a glass ceiling. Consider just the events of this past week:   Stock market collapse seen in second correction?   What? […]

A global economic storm has arrived. It’s not blowing full force, but here is what it looks like in a bullet list of recent economic changes:   Japan’s economy is in rapid recession, dropping 7% with industrial production tumbling 3.3% year-on-year. U.K. inflation has plunged to its lowest in five years, edging up fears of a deflationary spiral, […]

As I consider my 2013 Economic Predictions, I have to take a lesson from my “Economic Predictions for 2012.” I was right in all the trends, because economic fundamentals drive the trends, but I was wrong in not seeing how denial of economic reality could maintain itself longer than I thought, slowing the speed and […]

The Eurozone crisis calmed a little now that the European summit has agreed on a plan, but for how many days, and what about Greece? The agreement reached in Brussels raised stock markets around the world but only because the deal exceeded expectations, and that’s only because expecations were already priced into the market and […]

The euro crisis dominated economic news and set the stage for the summer I have been anticipating. Stocks fell; unemployment climbed; sales dragged; manufacturing sluffed off; consumer spending receded. Interest on the U.S. debt also ticked upward when the annual deficit soared over the trillion-dollar barrier for the fourth straight year. And that was just one week!     […]