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This Tight Labor Market Actually Assures a Stagflation Recession

I try to point out risks I believe most people do not want to see or cannot see because they don’t fit the norm by which people construct their perception of reality. I am accustomed, therefore, to being scoffed at because I am out of step with the thinking of the time, and the majority […]

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US Government’s COVID War Crimes Against Humanity

Lara Logan, the host of Fox Nation, has been heavily criticized this past week for comparing Dr. Anthony Fauci to Josef Mengele, the saddistic Nazi doctor whose ghost probably still crawls along the concrete corridors of Auschwitz, looking for Jews to torture, but how far off the mark is she?

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The “Damned Lies” that Unemployment Tells

There are lies, damned lies, and statistics. –Mark Twain Do you ever see graphs like this one and wonder why the unemployment rate has almost completely normalized since the start of the COVID pandemic crash; and, yet, employers everywhere are griping that they cannot find enough help, and articles everywhere are reporting numerous supply shortages, […]

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Inflation Rockets Launch

As I said in my recent Patron Post, We’ve now hit that critical juncture when price inflation is picking up momentum quickly…. Shortly after COVID assailed the world, I began to say, especially in my Patron Posts, that we had finally entered a period where, for the first time since I’ve been writing this blog, […]

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Nothing to See Here, Folks. I Mean, Literally, NOTHING.

Every couple of months, I bring us up to date on how the economy has changed, and the last couple of month have taken us predictably back into economic decline, following a summer burst of subnormal passableness that never got us out of the crater we fell into last spring.

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Devastating Damage from the Pandemic Is a Long Line of Bad News

It’s time for my semi-regular roundup of where the economy has gone since the last roundup, and … It’s a long line of devilish details

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Employment’s Recovery Road Comes to an End

Jobs didn’t get much worse in September, but they stopped getting better. This is a tale of where the recovery road for the US economy ended. Unemployment is the crux of the Covidcrisis economic story. While jobs showed a little improvement in September, a little digging through the numbers reveals the return to full employment […]

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Denial Dominates the Dummies

One of my reasons I started this website years ago was to counter all the denial that I saw in the mainstream media about how long and deep the problems from the Great Financial Crisis would be and about how we were failing in every way to resolve the greed, decay and especially faulty thinking […]

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US in Longterm Economic Decline

Measured by the common man (or common girl), we’re on the road to ruin. The US has been in decline for decades, but you can’t see that by looking at stocks. You can’t tell it from those who lie about the economy to make their living, but look at longterm real numbers, and you see […]

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Labor Dept. Trumps Its Own Numbers

Spin it up, Boys! Spin it up high! The Labor Department should go into the money-laundering business because they own the fastest-spinning, number-washing machine out there. Early this week, Trump promised really big numbers would be seen in Friday’s jobs report. Since presidents do not usually get the numbers until just before they are released […]

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Epochalypse Now: How Deep is Your Depression?

We are nearing that mid-point in July when I said we would start to see the news turn from euphoria-inducing reopening positives to depression-developing realism. Speaking of stock-market bulls who are stampeding uphill on the euphoria side, I wrote, Right now the farce is with them — reopening has arrived! And these stupid people will […]

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The Jobs Report Misunderstanding in a Nutshell: NO V-Shaped Recovery in Sight

The first graph gives you a glimpse of the “huge jobs rebound” that shocked the stock market into spurting past its 200 DMA barriers because retail investors and algos aren’t looking past the headlines. The second graph below shows you what a tiny difference that made to the total number of jobs that were lost:

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