America the Beautiful is Broken

Posted June 23, 2022 By David Haggith

The twaddle that comes out of the White House is deep right now. When our tottering president isn’t out enjoying a bike ride and falling down because Putin put gum in his stirrup so that he couldn’t get his foot out to steady himself, he is assembling a colorful team of Frisco-style professionals highly qualified […]

It Was Hell Week, and the Fed Can’t Handle the Heat

Posted June 20, 2022 By David Haggith
Daily economic news

Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, set last week off with a fitting sour note when it was reported across the financial news, he had updated his weather report for the economy: I said there were storm clouds. But I’m going to change it. It’s a hurricane. Right now it’s kind of sunny, things are […]

The bear is back

With the S&P diving deeper into bear territory today, it solidly confirmed its status as a bear. While it entered the bear’s woods on Monday by closing at 21.8% down, it shoved its nose deeper into the dirt today like a rooting bear will do to affirm its new identity. The short-lived bull market that […]

We could all be on the cusp of the most deadly inflation the world has ever experienced, due to a unique setup of global forces that have the power to accelerate that into happening in a surprisingly short amount of time. I’m going to tell you how that could happen more quickly than anyone appears […]

Better strap on your parachute and exit the plane ahead of landing because there is no getting out of a crash landing now that inflation is burning the landing gear off the bottom of the Fed’s plane. Captain “Bring-her-home Jerome” Powell was already trying to land his Federal Airlines 747 at the steepest angle of […]

Farmers in Great Depression

One who was a solitary voice in claiming the year began in a recession has now been joined by several significant voices claiming the recession is here; it will hit like a hurricane; and it will be deep, long and difficult to get out of….

The Real GDPig was a Whole Lot Uglier than it Looked!

Posted June 5, 2022 By David Haggith
hedge fund hedge hog (Basile Morin / CC BY-SA (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0))

That’s pretty ugly when you consider how ugly GDP looked at a growth rate (adjusted for inflation ) of -1.4%! Then that got kicked in the snout to -1.5%, but that’s not the half of how ugly it really was. What if it really was the first quarter of a covert recession? I am about […]

The Retail Apocalypse was Bloodier than it Looked

Posted June 2, 2022 By David Haggith
Federal Reserve hacking its own recovery to death

Retail was a bloody mess! But revenue looked pretty good … considering! So, what was all the red about, and why all the screaming on the stock exchange? Some of the biggest retail stocks got butchered after reporting higher revenue. Hold it! That doesn’t make sense. Why were corporate owners running out of their stores […]

During the Roaring Twenties would anyone have believed you if you told them about the depression and the dust-bowl years that were soon to come? Would they have believed their celebratory excesses during such a “strong economy” could possibly leave them collapsing into the dustbin of history that followed?

Protected: This Economy is Ugly in its Bones – Part 3

Posted May 22, 2022 By David Haggith
2019 recession coming - dust bowl photo

There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.

By Tairo Bonilla (Own work) [CC BY-SA 3.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

I still beg to differ with those who say the plunge from a positive 6.9% GDP growth rate in the last quarter of 2021 to minus 1.4% in the first quarter of 2022 is just noise. “It’s just a passing anomaly,” they say. On the contrary, I am certain the anomaly was the 6.9% reported […]

William Hogarth, CC BY 4.0 , via Wikimedia Commons

Sizzling inflation is not going away as drunken market revelers are hoping. This party bore, in fact, will be long outstaying her welcome. While the Fed once said it wanted some hot inflation on the scene, she arrived a lot hotter and has stayed a lot longer than Father Fed expected — now kind of […]

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