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Economic Predictions Archive

William Hogarth, CC BY 4.0 , via Wikimedia Commons

Sizzling inflation is not going away as drunken market revelers are hoping. This party bore, in fact, will be long outstaying her welcome. While the Fed once said it wanted some hot inflation on the scene, she arrived a lot hotter and has stayed a lot longer than Father Fed expected — now kind of […]

Protected: This Economy is Ugly in its Bones – Part 2

Posted May 13, 2022 By David Haggith
hedge fund hedge hog (Basile Morin / CC BY-SA (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0))

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How Bad Was the Stock Crash for April Fools?

Posted May 1, 2022 By David Haggith
HM Stoops? (the name signed to 2 of the 6 illustrations on the page of the newspaper—they all seem to be from the same hand, despite this particular image is unsigned) [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons

Well that didn’t take long. When GDP on Thursday morning revealed we are, in fact, crashing into recession, and the market flew like a released bird into the heavens, I noted in my last article that the market’s lunacy was just what I expected from delusional investors. That was a relief rally from the earlier […]

So much has happened with the rise of inflation and so much is continuing to crowd in behind the scenes on the production end that I believe we will see inflation burning hotter for longer in the months ahead. Those saying we are nearing peak inflation are as wrong as they were when they said […]

Bill Gates has dollar signs in his eyes as he envisions a cashless society

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cashless society cover of The Economist

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US military photo to go with "wars and rumors of wars"

I’m making Part Three of my “Epocalypse Revisited” series available to all because it introduces where the series will go in examining the world’s transition to a global, digital cashless society, countering the notion that globalism just fell off a cliff and dispelling rumors about gold-backed rubles and the mighty yuan trouncing the dollar.

Wars and Rumors of Wars Title Photo - US Navy Jets against background of storm clouds

The drumbeats of war are picking up the pace of inflation. Inflation, as I’ve argued here for some time, was certain to rise for months to come; but you’ll see in the various inflation notes below that sanctions made in response to the war are increasing inflation even more, as could be expected, and shortages […]

Sometimes weeks happen in a day, and we seem to be living in such times. In my latest Patron Post I laid out how Putin’s War and the sanctions imposed by the West and other nations will cause a tectonic shift in the new world order. It’s already happening.

Protected: Epocalypse Revisited Part Two: The New Globalism

Posted March 22, 2022 By David Haggith
Brussels-Arch now a symbol of the euro crisis

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There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.

In 2015, I wrote about The Great Recession 2.0 that was coming upon us. I called it “The Epocalypse” to signify an economic apocalypse that would be epic in scale and that would begin a new epoch on earth — a turbulent time of global economic collapse. It described my overarching vision of our journey ahead.