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Economic Predictions Archive

Oh, What a Difference a Day Makes

Posted February 11, 2022 By David Haggith

After hitting the highest official inflation rate in 40 years, bonds did exactly what I warned of in my last Patron Post where I said, The collapse of the Everything Bubble will be an economic supernova. Think Lehman Bros. and Bear Stearns and all the rest of what happened to cause the great recession, then […]

Protected: The Everything Bubble Bust Pt. 2: Zombie Apocalypse

Posted February 7, 2022 By David Haggith
Federal Reserve hacking its own recovery to death

There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.

The Next Recession is Here!

Posted February 2, 2022 By David Haggith
Farmer in despair over Great Depression in 1932.

Well, let’s just say the next recession is smoking right outside your window. You’re lying in your bed at night. You can’t see the intruder, and you don’t think he’s in the house yet, but you know he’s there because you can smell his cigarette smoke through your bedroom window.

I Bet My Blog and Won: The Stock Market Collapse of 2022

Posted January 29, 2022 By David Haggith
Falling housing prices may cause Housing Market Crash 2.0.

In the first half of 2021, I bet my blog that the inflation I had been predicting would rise so hot through the year for so long that it would kill the stock market bull. It’s time to call the bet.

Bundesarchiv, Bild 102-08803 / CC-BY-SA 3.0, CC BY-SA 3.0 DE , via Wikimedia Commons

There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.

There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.

Falling housing prices may cause Housing Market Crash 2.0.

The market’s demolition that I’ve been talking about has begun. Zero Hedge asked the question on Thursday, “How bad is it?” and provides Morgan Stanley’s answer: Just how bad was yesterday’s market rout [Thursday’s]? According to quants at Morgan Stanley, it was worse than every selloff in the past 5 years, including the March 2020 crash…. ZH

Bonds Buckle, Top Stocks Stink

Posted January 5, 2022 By David Haggith

Zero Hedge’s favorite quant from Nomura just laid out his measurements and metrics of the bond market that explain why treasury prices puked on Tuesday, and his assessment of what is happening precisely validates the “Big Reveal” that I made for readers here a few days ago when I opened one of my Patron Posts […]

The Big Reveal is Here!

Posted December 28, 2021 By David Haggith

The day has come, and I am doing as I promised by opening up my most important (in my view) Patron Post for everyone because I want you to understand the key economic event of the next three months. (Patrons at the $5 level and above got to understand what was coming a couple of […]

Protected: Economic Predictions for 2022

Posted December 20, 2021 By David Haggith
Photo of breadlines during the Great Depression

There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.

The Big Blindspot that Will Bite Bonds and Stocks in the Butt

Posted November 8, 2021 By David Haggith
Wheelbarrow full of money outside of Fiest Bank in Germany Weimar Republic

The Fed finally begun its cautious taper and the market did not immediately self-destruct… but the consequences of 14 years of central bank experimentation, regulatory overkill and the ‘processification’ of markets will have consequences… they may be bleak…. When bond markets sneeze… equity markets can end up on ventilators, dragging confidence down in their wake. Bill […]

Inflation: The Little Mouse that Roared

Posted October 26, 2021 By David Haggith
John Robert Charlton [CC BY 2.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)]

The last time I included a particular indicator of where temporary inflation and permanent inflation are headed, the indicator had risen in rather threatening manner to look like this: