Subject
Economic predictions
The recession calls, year by year, and how each came out.
Every forecast on this site is kept with its date and checked at the foot of the page. The calls made here were early more often than they were wrong, and wrong more often than the people making them admitted at the time; both are on the record.
Read them in order and a pattern appears: the direction was usually right, the timing was usually early, and the thing that intervened was usually the central bank.