Economic Predictions Archive

Protected: 2023 Economic Predictions: The Road Dead Ahead

Posted January 31, 2023 By David Haggith
Carmageddon keeps on rolling

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2023 Prediction: The Fed’s Inflation Fight is FAR from over!

Posted January 24, 2023 By David Haggith
From an epocalypse of another time By Dorothea Lange, Farm Security Administration / Office of War Information / Office of Emergency Management / Resettlement Administration [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons

The dominant theme for last year, I said way back in 2021, would be that inflation would become such a raging inferno it would force the Fed to tighten harder than anyone expected by rapidly raising interest and erasing money supply, causing stock and bond markets to both crash together (a coinciding set of events […]

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Powell’s Peril Lies in Lanquishing Labor Market

Posted December 14, 2022 By David Haggith

Fed Chair Jerome Powell did the best he could with the limited options the Fed has created for itself, and he said nothing unexpected. The Fed will continue its course at a slower rate of interest rate increases but raise interest to a higher level than it has thought it would have to all year […]

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The Bear is Uncaged … Again

Posted December 6, 2022 By David Haggith
Is the US stock market going to crash in 2017? [By Philip Timms [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons]

It’s important to say when you were wrong, especially if you are prone to point out when you were right. Otherwise, you are just boasting in vain conceit. If you point it out both ways, you are just being factual.

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cashless society cover of The Economist

For years, I’ve written about the creeping approach of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) as a replacement for coin and paper money that will give government much deeper control over you. Now the time has arrived … IN THE US. Yesterday, The Federal Reserve Bank of New York published the following notice:

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Protected: Something Wicked is STILL Prowling Nearby

Posted November 1, 2022 By David Haggith

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Where did something wicked go?

Posted October 23, 2022 By David Haggith
Permission is granted to copy, distribute and/or modify this document under the terms of the GNU Free Documentation License ( http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html ), Version 1.2 or any later version published by the Free Software Foundation; with no Invariant Sections, no Front-Cover Texts, and no Back-Cover Texts. A copy of the license is included in the section entitled GNU Free Documentation License.

Last Sunday, I wrote about the big swings in the stock market that had just happened as follows: I’m anticipating this coming week will be horrendous. That kind of extreme bouncing is nothing but the rapids right before the lip of the waterfall.… I think that is what this is — extreme chop like the […]

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Something Wicked This Way Comes!

Posted October 16, 2022 By David Haggith
John Robert Charlton [CC BY 2.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)]

From the intro to my last Patron Post: Thursday morning CPI, again, proved what has become my standing narrative for two years — that hot inflation would force the Fed to tighten faster and [thus] would kill the economy, the bond market and stocks — when all of the following headlines hit on a single morning (as […]

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Bottleneck Animal or ???

Posted October 12, 2022 By David Haggith

In this week’s podcast, Tom Pochari asked me what I believe is the ultimate destiny of humans and human civilization on this sometimes seemingly Godforsaken earth … so I told him: Bottleneck Animal (Top of left column at time of posting, October 12, 2022.)

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Down, Down, Down in a Burning Ring of Fire

Posted September 30, 2022 By David Haggith
Plane made of burning dollar bills symbolizes price inflation and the Fed moving to digital currency

The Dow plunged 686 points midday on Thursday and closed down 458, wiping out a large relief rally from the day before, and it went down for the key reason I laid out for understanding why the Fed will over-tighten and drive the economy into an extremely deep recession. A batch of economic data that […]

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The Train Wreck is Already Happening

Posted September 21, 2022 By David Haggith
By Photo credited to the firm Levy & fils by this site. (It is credited to a photographer "Kuhn" by another publisher [1].) (the source was not disclosed by its uploader.) [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons

Today the market paid back some of its delusional holdings. It has a lot more left to pay back. You see, the market believed the Fed all of last year when the Fed said inflation was transitory. Or, at least, market leaders sold the Fed’s narrative, accelerating us into a heck of wreck.

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By Germán Torreblanca (Own work) [CC BY-SA 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

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