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The economic gurus and magic-chart advisors who told you inflation was going to be transitory or that it wouldn’t amount to much or even the dimmest of all who proclaimed it wasn’t happening at all could not have been proven more foolish and blind to the obvious all around them. Now they are revising themselves […]

2017 Economic Forecast is looking like the mother of all storms

There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.

Perfect storm for 2019 recession

Storm clouds blanket the entire global economy right now. In the articles I’ve written over the last ten days, I reported extensively on the following prevailing winds that are assailing all economies, and in this article and the next, I’ll reveal how our governments are actively making them much worse:

In an effort to prove the Fed’s tapering won’t matter, I recently saw one stock advisor claim that, when the Fed tapered its QE from late 2015 into 2016, “the stock market rallied 60% in an almost straight line higher.” Wow! Let’s take a look at that! Here is what the stock market actually did […]

Shortages and Inflation Are Ripping the World’s Face Off

Posted October 1, 2021 By David Haggith
HM Stoops? (the name signed to 2 of the 6 illustrations on the page of the newspaper—they all seem to be from the same hand, despite this particular image is unsigned) [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons

The evidence that inflation is ripping everyone’s face off is now widespread, and the situation is rapidly getting worse all over the world, making it harder for both US bonds and stocks to ignore it: The US stock market took it on the chin again Tuesday, plummeting on worries about sustained high inflation that pushed […]

Stocks and Bonds Starting to Tussle

Posted September 27, 2021 By David Haggith
TAFTA [CC BY-SA 3.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0)], from Wikimedia Commons

As I’ve written about extensively, we know the Federal Reserve has painted itself into a corner where it is now pressured to start tapering its quantitative easing earlier than it had been indicating. Now we are seeing signs that the bond market isn’t liking the news out of the last FOMC meeting, which hinted strongly […]

Inflation is now rising faster than anything IHS Markit has ever seen in its Purchasing Manager’s Index, but it gets worse: It is not just cost outputs to consumers that are being passed along, but the rise in new input costs has also picked up pace. That means even higher price increases are building up […]


Joe Biden is looking a little Grinchy, having decided to fire the unvaccinated across America as we head toward the holidays. Even though the end of enhanced unemployment benefits has not brought back millions of former employees who’ve held out since the COVID lockdown, Biden decided it would be wise to fire a lot more […]

John Robert Charlton [CC BY 2.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)]

Stagflation is showing up in data points and articles everywhere now. Delta worries, labor shortages and fading Washington stimulus — it’s enough to cast a chill on the U.S. economy this fall. A bevy of Wall Street forecasters chopped their targets for U.S. growth after a poor U.S. jobs report for August. The government on […]

Protected: Fed-up and Failing: How FedMed Killed the Patient

Posted August 30, 2021 By David Haggith

There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.

Inflation Growing More Persistent

Posted August 26, 2021 By David Haggith

I want to thank my patrons for hanging in there with me while my writing has been less frequent than you deserve. I’ve been battling with COVID for the past two weeks while also in the middle of a house move, but I hope now to get more on track as I seem to have […]

Farmers in Great Depression

To keep it simple: Nope! Not this time anyway. That is, however, what you hear from the wistful market makers who want to see last week’s CPI release as proof inflation was “transitory.” Let me disabuse you of that fantasy entirely.

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