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Celebrating Our Great and Feared Leaders

This week, I am inspired by the awarding of the Nobel Prize in Economics to our own highly regarded Ben Bernanke, one of the world’s greatest economists who recognized, contrary to the average dolt who felt otherwise, that we were not in a recession in the summer of 2008 and that, in fact, there was […]

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The Fed is Still Spiking the Inflation Punch Bowl, but the Party is in Recess Anyway

Sizzling inflation is not going away as drunken market revelers are hoping. This party bore, in fact, will be long outstaying her welcome. While the Fed once said it wanted some hot inflation on the scene, she arrived a lot hotter and has stayed a lot longer than Father Fed expected — now kind of […]

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Fed-up and Failing: How FedMed Killed the Patient

When The Great Recession Blog was conceived back in early 2011, I wrote the following statement to my friend Stan who was thinking about developing a website of his own, which became the core theme for this site: I think focusing on the economy from the perspective of economic sustainability might be better. I don’t know if […]

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How Dead is the Fed?

You can only be so dead, and that’s just “plain dead.” But there is also Feddy Krueger dead. The kind of dead that keeps on happening like a demonic death that won’t stay dead. It is in that nightmarish Elm St. light that I’m going to review the Federal Reserve’s death.

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A Long Shadow Creeps over the Economy This Summer

It’s time to turn around and see the darkness that the Fed sees looming over you. Earnings season is already extending signs of recession with the first corporate reports coming in far darker than expectations that were already twilight dim in FactSet’s estimations, which pegged earnings as likely to show a 2% contraction.

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The Great Recovery Rewind: An Interesting Interest Conundrum

(This Premium Post, available to patrons who support this site at $5 or more per month, explains how the Great Recovery Rewind works, how it impacts interest rates, and how it may be monetizing the US government debt. It can be opened here with the password provided to Premium Post Patrons or in my posts […]

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Federal Reserve Confesses Sole Responsibility for All Recessions

In a surprisingly candid admission, two former Federal Reserve chairs have stated that the Federal Reserve alone is responsible for creating all recessions in the United States. First, former Fed Chair Ben Bernanke said that Expansions don’t die of old age. They get murdered. MarketWatch To clarify this statement, former Chair Janet Yellen placed the […]

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Death of the Great Recovery Part 1: Stocks in Bondage and Bonds in the Stockade

Is the US economy collapsing into the Epocalypse that I predicted would start to show up as large cracks in the economy last summer? The initial damage that I forecast for last summer was in auto sales, housing sales, and the ruin of retail stores and shopping malls along with their satellite restaurants. These initial breakups, […]

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US Economy Keeps Moving Into Summer Storm

One of the kookiest moments last month came when Fed Chairwoman Yellen spoke about seeing no financial collapse in sight during our lifetimes   “Would I say there will never ever be another financial crisis? No. Probably that would be going a little too far, but I do think that we’re much safer, and I […]

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Irrational Exuberance During Trump Rally Exceeded All Records! We’re sailing into a massive stock-market crash.

If I can show you that economists, central bankers and stock analysts are blind in the area of their expertise to the most obvious setup for disaster ever, then you’ll realize we are perfectly poised for potentially the greatest stock market crash in history. Many times in the past few months, I’ve heard these people say that the […]

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Will Mid-March Madness Maul the Stock Market in 2017?

Many of the 2017 economic headwinds I’ve described will hit during the Ides of March, just as the Trump stock-market rally shows signs of topping out. This might not be the Great Epocalypse — not all at once anyway — but a large and likely correction is looming. I think the bear is about to be let out of his cage.

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Federal Reserve Admits it Never Knew What it was Doing

The Federal Reserve is, at last, acknowledging at top levels that its economists are completely baffled, its recovery is failing, that the Fed cannot raise interest and may even have to heat up its stimulants … or we may end up with a permanently scarred and stagnant economy.

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