The Great Recession Blog

And I’m kind of glad to see it happen. Having seen the bursting of the bond bubble coming, I stepped out of the way financially (no money in stocks or bond funds) to watch the plunge from the sidelines during what has turned suddenly into an epic plunge in bond prices (rise in yields).

This past week was a stormy ride through the badlands of hell for bonds. Government bond prices took their worst cliff-fall since the Marshall Plan. The panic run of bonds over the edge was sparked by the fantasy belief that Russia might be retreating, bringing a rapid end to Putin’s invasion and the opposing sanctions.

Sometimes weeks happen in a day, and we seem to be living in such times. In my latest Patron Post I laid out how Putin’s War and the sanctions imposed by the West and other nations will cause a tectonic shift in the new world order. It’s already happening.

After hitting the highest official inflation rate in 40 years, bonds did exactly what I warned of in my last Patron Post where I said, The collapse of the Everything Bubble will be an economic supernova. Think Lehman Bros. and Bear Stearns and all the rest of what happened to cause the great recession, then […]

They already promised they will. That’s the kicker, and everyone in the financial press accepted their promise with no complaints because everyone in finance wants to see lower inflation that won’t disturb broker’s bullish selling and investor sentiment and bond funds and hedge funds, etc. It pays to not question.

I’ve just written a Patron Post that lays out the enormous scope and serious ramifications of the corporate zombie bubble that will likely blow up as part of the bond bubble that is now ready to supernova, but here is a video by CNBC that does a good job of laying out the basic problem […]

There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.

Well, let’s just say the next recession is smoking right outside your window. You’re lying in your bed at night. You can’t see the intruder, and you don’t think he’s in the house yet, but you know he’s there because you can smell his cigarette smoke through your bedroom window.

It’s all about inflation, but it’s not about today’s news on inflation. The big news on inflation today is not even that it hit 6.8% — its highest level since 1983 — but that the rate of climb for inflation is the steepest it has been in seventy years. However, even that is not the […]

We have just entered those days of heady inflation that I have said will kill the stock market and bond funds. There is a tipping point at which inflation and the interest changes that respond to inflation matter, but it has never been a clearly defined point.

The Fed finally begun its cautious taper and the market did not immediately self-destruct… but the consequences of 14 years of central bank experimentation, regulatory overkill and the ‘processification’ of markets will have consequences… they may be bleak…. When bond markets sneeze… equity markets can end up on ventilators, dragging confidence down in their wake. Bill […]