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Why the Fed will fail to fight inflation until the recession beats it down

You cannot grow a turnip in a pile of dollar bills unless you let them rot first. Depending on the road the Fed takes, that could become the dollar’s highest value and the best the Fed can do to reduce food shortages. Whether the dollar decays depends, in good part, on whether the Fed chooses […]

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How Bad Was the Stock Crash for April Fools?

Well that didn’t take long. When GDP on Thursday morning revealed we are, in fact, crashing into recession, and the market flew like a released bird into the heavens, I noted in my last article that the market’s lunacy was just what I expected from delusional investors. That was a relief rally from the earlier […]

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US Economy Crashes Headlong into Recession!

Is it too extreme to say an annualized GDP growth number of minus 1.4% this quarter puts us in recession in this quarter, and is it too extreme to call that a “crash?” No, it is not in the least extreme, and I’ll tell you why, even though the standard definition of a recession is […]

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Inflation May Take the Food out of Your Mouth before it Goes Away

So much has happened with the rise of inflation and so much is continuing to crowd in behind the scenes on the production end that I believe we will see inflation burning hotter for longer in the months ahead. Those saying we are nearing peak inflation are as wrong as they were when they said […]

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The Relentless March of Inflation to the Drumbeats of War is Killing us All

The drumbeats of war are picking up the pace of inflation. Inflation, as I’ve argued here for some time, was certain to rise for months to come; but you’ll see in the various inflation notes below that sanctions made in response to the war are increasing inflation even more, as could be expected, and shortages […]

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Bond Vigilantes Riding Bonds in a Suicide Race to the Bottom of the Market!

And I’m kind of glad to see it happen. Having seen the bursting of the bond bubble coming, I stepped out of the way financially (no money in stocks or bond funds) to watch the plunge from the sidelines during what has turned suddenly into an epic plunge in bond prices (rise in yields).

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Seeing It All Come Together: Months of Predictions Closing in on Quick Collapse

Sometimes weeks happen in a day, and we seem to be living in such times. In my latest Patron Post I laid out how Putin’s War and the sanctions imposed by the West and other nations will cause a tectonic shift in the new world order. It’s already happening.

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Protected: Epocalypse Revisited Part Two: The New Globalism

There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.

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Epocalypse Revisited: The Recurring Nightmare of Economic Collapse

In 2015, I wrote about The Great Recession 2.0 that was coming upon us. I called it “The Epocalypse” to signify an economic apocalypse that would be epic in scale and that would begin a new epoch on earth — a turbulent time of global economic collapse. It described my overarching vision of our journey ahead.

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The Fed Did It! Inflationary Collapse was Already Here.

For almost two years (starting in 2020 before you could see any consumer inflation at all), I have faithfully and consistently traced our trajectory toward scorching inflation that would cause a market disaster. Prior to that, inflationary burn-out was not an argument I ever made on this site (unlike some who perennially hyperventilate about hyperinflation).

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Russian Ruble Turns to Rubble

A number of readers here know that I have sometimes written articles for RT.com, owned by the Russian government. I got paid $200 per article via direct deposits from Moscow into my bank account for each article I wrote. Never did I write anything about the US that I was not willing to publish here […]

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