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The Big Reveal is Here!

The day has come, and I am doing as I promised by opening up my most important (in my view) Patron Post for everyone because I want you to understand the key economic event of the next three months. (Patrons at the $5 level and above got to understand what was coming a couple of […]

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The Inflation Death Spiral has Begun: Inflation Hits Stocks, Bonds and Government Like a Bomb Cyclone

One or two dimwits told me I was stupid to be thinking inflation would be the driving force of 2021 due to shortages and Fed money printing. The cockiest one even assured me his second-grade education in economics said inflation wasn’t even happening, yet inflation has relentlessly surged higher every month to finally now hit […]

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The Big Blindspot that Will Bite Bonds and Stocks in the Butt

The Fed finally begun its cautious taper and the market did not immediately self-destruct… but the consequences of 14 years of central bank experimentation, regulatory overkill and the ‘processification’ of markets will have consequences… they may be bleak…. When bond markets sneeze… equity markets can end up on ventilators, dragging confidence down in their wake. Bill […]

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BlackRock’s Bovine Foolishness, So Dense and Dark it’s Stunning!

BlackRock’s Jean Boivin just said there are not apparent signs of stagnation — just inflation. What Bovine foolishness: Prices have climbed around the world, with commodities prices surging and U.S. inflation hitting a 13-year high. It’s the first time since the 1970s that a supply shock is the main culprit. This is where the comparison […]

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The Fed’s Argument That It’s Not Directly Financing Government Debt Finally Fails

The most interesting thing about what the Fed is now doing is that it is illegal. The Fed’s argument that it is not monetizing the US debt fails now on its own terms. The Fed is buying treasuries for no purpose other than to directly finance the government’s escalating debt. Here’s the deal: 

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Stock Market as Forward Looking as a Caboose

“Remember that the market is a forward-looking indicator. Ideally, it is pricing in the gains of the next six to 18 months.” (Seeking Alpha) Famous last words again and again. That sunny advice about today’s overpriced market was repeated again about a week ago. It is the same excuse that was routinely deployed at the […]

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MAGAnificent! The Economic Truth or Terror is Known at Last

What does MAGAnificent America look like now that it’s here? Does America really feel greater after the last four years? Be honest now. Be really honest. From where I stand, America has never looked worse in any year of my life! That’s a statement packed with facts.

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Stocks Got Trumped then Dumped then Rose Again Like Phoenix Rose for the Dems out of Republican Ashes

Election night and the day that followed became one more exhibition of irrational exuberance in the stock market and an omen of chaos to come. Early on election night in the US, stock futures soared as soon as it looked to many investors like Donald Trump would have a clear claim to a second term […]

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Denial Dominates the Dummies

One of my reasons I started this website years ago was to counter all the denial that I saw in the mainstream media about how long and deep the problems from the Great Financial Crisis would be and about how we were failing in every way to resolve the greed, decay and especially faulty thinking […]

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US in Longterm Economic Decline

Measured by the common man (or common girl), we’re on the road to ruin. The US has been in decline for decades, but you can’t see that by looking at stocks. You can’t tell it from those who lie about the economy to make their living, but look at longterm real numbers, and you see […]

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Epochalypse Now: How Deep is Your Depression?

We are nearing that mid-point in July when I said we would start to see the news turn from euphoria-inducing reopening positives to depression-developing realism. Speaking of stock-market bulls who are stampeding uphill on the euphoria side, I wrote, Right now the farce is with them — reopening has arrived! And these stupid people will […]

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Papa Powell Sees “Tremendous Human and Economic Hardship” (No V-Shaped Recovery)

Jerome Powell burst the stock market bubble by publicly acknowledging there will not likely be a “V”-shaped economic recovery. He indicated that it will take years for the economy to return to the recent levels … we experienced just a mere four months ago. —Seeking Alpha

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