The Great Recession Blog

As we’ve all heard many times, history never repeats exactly. This time around, commercial real-estate is where all the naked swimmers are showing up, and the big reveal has arrived almost overnight like a tsunami, sucking all the water out of the bay. carrying more than a few swimmers out with it.

Since this is a long article packed with my predictions (and some near-predictions, so let’s say “high likelihoods”), you will probably want to read it in sections, which you’ll find cover my ongoing predictions about the following topics: To make it easier to get back to where you left off, I’ve made these targeted links […]

This was the year where it seemed everything imploded. For the economy, it started with two quarters of receding GDP that everyone refused to call a recession. Whether you stand with the crowd on that or not, it was certainly not a good change and was certainly a collapse of the economy toward a smaller […]

This was the year where it seemed everything imploded. For the economy, it started with two quarters of receding GDP that everyone refused to call a recession. Whether you stand with the crowd on that or not, it was certainly not a good change and is certainly a collapse of the economy toward a smaller […]

The twaddle that comes out of the White House is deep right now. When our tottering president isn’t out enjoying a bike ride and falling down because Putin put gum in his stirrup so that he couldn’t get his foot out to steady himself, he is assembling a colorful team of Frisco-style professionals highly qualified […]

Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, set last week off with a fitting sour note when it was reported across the financial news, he had updated his weather report for the economy: I said there were storm clouds. But I’m going to change it. It’s a hurricane. Right now it’s kind of sunny, things are […]

In a world embroiled in what could turn into World War III in which Russian President Vladimir Putin is repeatedly threatening nuclear missile attacks, a return to talking about the collapse of the Everything Bubble, especially the housing part of this collapse, seems mundane.

Interestingly, you’re about to find out that the fall in housing prices and home sales may power us further into high inflation for longer. We are entering a situation that could turn into a true oxymoron where lower prices equal higher prices as early as this week at the Fed’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting. […]

Things couldn’t be worse if you’re in the market for a house, except that they can be and probably will be. As it stands, you can probably buy this photographed “cosmetic” fixer for half a million if it’s in a modest neighborhood or a large city that everyone is fleeing. Housing prices rocketed to the […]

I mentioned in a recent article that the weird thing about this recession is that it is the only one in which personal income has gone up during a recession. That, of course, is because of government assistance, which is making it so we don’t have to feel the pain of a recession that the […]

When dinosaurs went extinct, mammals gained opportunity to flourish. Crises for some bring opportunity for others who can adapt to benefit from new environments. I try to enable my readers to position themselves to be the ones who will come out better at the end of this crisis. Future calamity has already been set in […]

The Fed admits its policies are losing potency, and its efforts now require continual government support as massive as the support provided by the Fed. I maintain that Fed success at propping up stocks now also requires continued belief in a fantasy narrative about a V-shaped economic recovery from the Coronacrisisi. We saw all of […]