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Textbook Stagflation Rising Faster than Any Time Since IHS Began Tracking

Inflation is now rising faster than anything IHS Markit has ever seen in its Purchasing Manager’s Index, but it gets worse: It is not just cost outputs to consumers that are being passed along, but the rise in new input costs has also picked up pace. That means even higher price increases are building up […]

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Biden’s Tax & Vax Plan May be Straw that Breaks Wise Men’s Camels’ Backs

Joe Biden is looking a little Grinchy, having decided to fire the unvaccinated across America as we head toward the holidays. Even though the end of enhanced unemployment benefits has not brought back millions of former employees who’ve held out since the COVID lockdown, Biden decided it would be wise to fire a lot more […]

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Inflation Growing More Persistent

I want to thank my patrons for hanging in there with me while my writing has been less frequent than you deserve. I’ve been battling with COVID for the past two weeks while also in the middle of a house move, but I hope now to get more on track as I seem to have […]

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Is Inflation Cooling and Putting in a Top? Could it be that I was wrong?

To keep it simple: Nope! Not this time anyway. That is, however, what you hear from the wistful market makers who want to see last week’s CPI release as proof inflation was “transitory.” Let me disabuse you of that fantasy entirely.

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You be the Judge of the Truthfulness of my Naysayers

Whenever I predict the market is going to crash or (as I recently have) that inflation is going to soar and then it does as I predicted, I get naysayers who claim — with no research to know what they are talking about — that I’m just a broken clock who happens to be right […]

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Protected: The Great Inflationary Train Wreck is Here

There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.

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Powell Admits in Congressional Testimony Inflation is Hotter and More Concerning than the Fed Expected

When asked about where inflation is now and how it relates to how high the Fed thought inflation would reach and what the Fed’s targets for inflation really are, Powell made it clear that inflation is running much hotter than the Fed thought it would be and for longer: This is not moderately above 2% […]

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Evidence of Inflation’s Inferno is Everywhere, but President Can’t Feel the Heat

As I promised in my last article, I’ll now lay out where inflation has gone since my June update. Because so much inflation has emerged in the last few weeks, I can hardly keep up with the number of ways in which it is soaring and the reasons it will be more persistent than the […]

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I am Betting My Blog (Once Again) on My Inflation Predictions Being Right!

I’ve said inflation will rise much higher than the Fed believes and will persist much longer and that it will eventually kill the latest stock market bull and the economy. If these inflation predictions prove wrong, I’ll stop writing my blog. Simple as that. That is how firmly I believe what I am saying and […]

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Bond Baloney Everywhere! Let me help you digest it.

The bond market is crazy weird right now. Inflation is soaring, and bond yields, which are supposed to price in inflation, are falling through the floor, causing many experts to scratch their heads as they try to figure out what on earth to make of it all:

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Protected: The Best Arguments Against “Persistent Inflation” Have it Wrong

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Inflation’s Heat Signature Is All Over the Economic Map

Let’s look at what has continued to develop with inflation in the short time since my May articles on the subject because inflation is going to cause the Fed’s “Great Recovery” but burn up in its own incendiary blast. A rapid spread of fiery inflationary data lit up the landscape last week:

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Fed Falls for its Own Inflation Fakery

The S&P 500 failed a breakthrough on Thursday and tucked its head back below its 4200 ceiling again, where it has remained rangebound for weeks. Job news on the economic front that many analysts toasted as great could not lift sentiment out of the doldrums on Thursday, nor could it stop Netflix from making its […]

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