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Inflation May Take the Food out of Your Mouth before it Goes Away

So much has happened with the rise of inflation and so much is continuing to crowd in behind the scenes on the production end that I believe we will see inflation burning hotter for longer in the months ahead. Those saying we are nearing peak inflation are as wrong as they were when they said […]

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The Relentless March of Inflation to the Drumbeats of War is Killing us All

The drumbeats of war are picking up the pace of inflation. Inflation, as I’ve argued here for some time, was certain to rise for months to come; but you’ll see in the various inflation notes below that sanctions made in response to the war are increasing inflation even more, as could be expected, and shortages […]

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Seeing It All Come Together: Months of Predictions Closing in on Quick Collapse

Sometimes weeks happen in a day, and we seem to be living in such times. In my latest Patron Post I laid out how Putin’s War and the sanctions imposed by the West and other nations will cause a tectonic shift in the new world order. It’s already happening.

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The Fed Did It! Inflationary Collapse was Already Here.

For almost two years (starting in 2020 before you could see any consumer inflation at all), I have faithfully and consistently traced our trajectory toward scorching inflation that would cause a market disaster. Prior to that, inflationary burn-out was not an argument I ever made on this site (unlike some who perennially hyperventilate about hyperinflation).

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Passengers Scream Recession as Powell Dives His Plane for a Soft Nose-Cone Landing

Having written my own articles about how we are going into recession dead ahead, I want to back those up with the chorus of alarmed comments everywhere now about Powell is power-diving our economy straight into a recession.

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Government Statistics at it Again: They Adjusted Your Recession from Hell to Heaven!

I tried my best to give the BLS the benefit of the doubt when it did not massage the inflation rate in its last CPI report lower for January than December as I thought it would. I did, that is, until I dug deeper into what the BLS did do. Now government is at it […]

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Expect the Bureau of Lying Statistics to Tell a Whopper with Thursday’s CPI

They already promised they will. That’s the kicker, and everyone in the financial press accepted their promise with no complaints because everyone in finance wants to see lower inflation that won’t disturb broker’s bullish selling and investor sentiment and bond funds and hedge funds, etc. It pays to not question.

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This Tight Labor Market Actually Assures a Stagflation Recession

I try to point out risks I believe most people do not want to see or cannot see because they don’t fit the norm by which people construct their perception of reality. I am accustomed, therefore, to being scoffed at because I am out of step with the thinking of the time, and the majority […]

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The Money Pump is Working to Drain Stocks … and There is No Safety Shutoff!

There is no safety, as in times past when the Fed was draining money out of the economy and could just flip back to pumping money in, because the Fed is running the outflow pump fast and furious, and the Fed has no option for reversing the pump or even just stopping it this time […]

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Food Shortages Punching the Populace in the Gut

With CPI hitting a 40-year high today, as economists anticipated it would, inflation has shown us it is going to keep getting worse. People in some areas of the nation are already alarmed about food shortages. Prices are rising as shelves go empty. So are tempers.

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Federal Reserve Finally Admits it was Wrong about Inflation — NOT Transitory!

Not even close to transitory. After giving its turkey advice for Thanksgiving, the Federal Reserve finally gave up completely on the “Inflation is transitory” chorus it has been singing all year. Chairman Powell of the People’s Bank of Amerika stated outright today that inflation is not transitory after all, confirming what I have been preaching […]

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“Let them eat tofu”: Federal Reserve Combats Inflation at Thanksgiving with Unpardonable Diet Advice

The US central bank has apparently taken on a new mandate — being your dietary coach, advising Americans to fight the inflation it helped ignite by eating tofurkey and other soy-based foods for Thanksgiving, instead of turkey.

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