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It’s Full Market Meltdown Mania and the Fire Truck Is on Fire

The stock market is smart in a dumb way, but it is currently unbelievably dumb in the way that it is smart. To understand that, you have to realize that today’s stock market is not a place for investing in businesses. It used to be that, but the players have all turned it into a […]

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Epocalypse Revisted: The Entire Global Economy is Breaking Up on the Rocks

The sails are torn and fluttering fiercely like flags in a windstorm. The ship has stopped slicing through the waves, and its timbers are shuddering on the rocks. You can hear the stony teeth chewing into her planks, but the captain and crew are passing around sherry glasses and raising a toast to the fine […]

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THE INFLATION MONSTER: It’s Much Worse than we Thought … but Wait until this Little Monster Grows Up!

We could all be on the cusp of the most deadly inflation the world has ever experienced, due to a unique setup of global forces that have the power to accelerate that into happening in a surprisingly short amount of time. I’m going to tell you how that could happen more quickly than anyone appears […]

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The Big Bond Blowup: Worst Bust Since Marshall Plan

This past week was a stormy ride through the badlands of hell for bonds. Government bond prices took their worst cliff-fall since the Marshall Plan. The panic run of bonds over the edge was sparked by the fantasy belief that Russia might be retreating, bringing a rapid end to Putin’s invasion and the opposing sanctions.

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Stocks and Awe: The Federal Reserve Regime Change is Here!

The Everything Bubble is bursting, and the Fed has barely even begun its war on inflation. Many top stocks are already in their own bear markets. Nvidia, way off its game, has lost 25% of its value from its last high score. The ridiculously skyrocketing Tesla has plunged back toward earth’s gravity on a trajectory […]

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Protected: Economic Predictions for 2022

There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.

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The “Damned Lies” that Unemployment Tells

There are lies, damned lies, and statistics. –Mark Twain Do you ever see graphs like this one and wonder why the unemployment rate has almost completely normalized since the start of the COVID pandemic crash; and, yet, employers everywhere are griping that they cannot find enough help, and articles everywhere are reporting numerous supply shortages, […]

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Protected: Fed-up and Failing: How FedMed Killed the Patient

There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.

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Inflation Growing More Persistent

I want to thank my patrons for hanging in there with me while my writing has been less frequent than you deserve. I’ve been battling with COVID for the past two weeks while also in the middle of a house move, but I hope now to get more on track as I seem to have […]

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Stocks Wince Because the Stagflation Party Has Arrived

The past week has been a story of stagflation infecting the US economy while the stock market grimaces as Fed officials express the need to start a gradual pullout from economic stimulus much sooner or face a rapid pull-out a little later. Word on the Street has been that inflation is coming hot and heavy […]

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Fed Tricks Markets with Trillion-Dollar Clandestine Tightening and Keeps Government Vortex Whirling

While the Fed’s current tightening is not exactly a well-kept secret, stock and bond markets seem willing to ignore what the Fed’s left hand is taking away as the right hand is giving. Reverse repurchase agreements, which I have been tracking here, have exploded to a trillion dollars in money that the Fed is sucking […]

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