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Stocks and Awe: The Federal Reserve Regime Change is Here!

The Everything Bubble is bursting, and the Fed has barely even begun its war on inflation. Many top stocks are already in their own bear markets. Nvidia, way off its game, has lost 25% of its value from its last high score. The ridiculously skyrocketing Tesla has plunged back toward earth’s gravity on a trajectory […]

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Protected: Economic Predictions for 2022

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The “Damned Lies” that Unemployment Tells

There are lies, damned lies, and statistics. –Mark Twain Do you ever see graphs like this one and wonder why the unemployment rate has almost completely normalized since the start of the COVID pandemic crash; and, yet, employers everywhere are griping that they cannot find enough help, and articles everywhere are reporting numerous supply shortages, […]

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Protected: Fed-up and Failing: How FedMed Killed the Patient

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Inflation Growing More Persistent

I want to thank my patrons for hanging in there with me while my writing has been less frequent than you deserve. I’ve been battling with COVID for the past two weeks while also in the middle of a house move, but I hope now to get more on track as I seem to have […]

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Stocks Wince Because the Stagflation Party Has Arrived

The past week has been a story of stagflation infecting the US economy while the stock market grimaces as Fed officials express the need to start a gradual pullout from economic stimulus much sooner or face a rapid pull-out a little later. Word on the Street has been that inflation is coming hot and heavy […]

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Fed Tricks Markets with Trillion-Dollar Clandestine Tightening and Keeps Government Vortex Whirling

While the Fed’s current tightening is not exactly a well-kept secret, stock and bond markets seem willing to ignore what the Fed’s left hand is taking away as the right hand is giving. Reverse repurchase agreements, which I have been tracking here, have exploded to a trillion dollars in money that the Fed is sucking […]

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Fed Falters, Stocks Stumble, Bonds Bounce

The Fed candidly admitted today’s soaring inflation is not what it had in mind, though it certainly is exactly what I’ve had in mind: At a news conference after the Fed’s statment [sic.] was released, Chairman Jerome Powell said he expects that inflation will be short-lived but acknowledged that it has run hotter than the […]

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Protected: The Great Yield Curve Control Conundrum

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Protected: MMT is Here! Start Stacking Money Like Firewood

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How the Fed Fixed the Repo Crisis

This week’s results in the Fed’s repo-market interventions in one fell swoop proved everything I’ve said about the Fed’s intervention being QE4ever and the problem’s cause. The following results show the repo market has been fixed: The instant the Fed returned to full-on, “we-now-call-it-QE” QE, the repo market settled right down to an easy calm.

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The Bailout Bonanza is Back! (Pt 2: Hedge Hogs Demand More!)

The emphasis has to be on HOG as they squeal for corporate welfare and push their snouts into the trough. One hedge hog says the government needs to bail out all businesses by paying all wages so companies that depleted all cash don’t have to pay to retain all workers:

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