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Protected: Stocks Stacked High in a Shipwrecked Economy

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Fed and Treasury Steer Their Unsinkable Ship toward Iceberg

This past week we got to observe Fed Chair Jerome Powell and the US stock market and the US bond market do everything I said they would do in their complicated shuffle of ships-and-icebergs: “I’m sure many helium-headed stock investors believe the lilly-livered Fed will turn tail and run from its goal of letting inflation […]

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Stock Market as Forward Looking as a Caboose

“Remember that the market is a forward-looking indicator. Ideally, it is pricing in the gains of the next six to 18 months.” (Seeking Alpha) Famous last words again and again. That sunny advice about today’s overpriced market was repeated again about a week ago. It is the same excuse that was routinely deployed at the […]

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Protected: The Coming Inflation Conflagration

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Protected: Even Moron Market Mania

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DON’T-STOP GAME STOCKS: Bankrupt Companies As Trillion-Dollar Chips in the Wall Street Casino

The faint heartbeat of this week’s jobs report did not keep the stock market from trying to scramble back up to its record heights. The surging and plunging and scrambling for cash and closing of gates at Robinhood did not stop the rise either. Robinhood became a broken arrow Let’s just say market mania rose […]

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Nothing to See Here, Folks. I Mean, Literally, NOTHING.

Every couple of months, I bring us up to date on how the economy has changed, and the last couple of month have taken us predictably back into economic decline, following a summer burst of subnormal passableness that never got us out of the crater we fell into last spring.

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It’s Not Often I Get to Proclaim “THE FED IS DEAD” Then Watch the Fed Put on the Toe Tag!

The following article comes with a surprising revelation — possibly an alarming revelation — at the end. Something big is happening at the Fed — the largest movement of “cash” in history. I don’t know what to make of it, because the Fed has been completely silent about it, and the mainstream financial press has […]

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Market AGAIN More Precariously Euphoric Than Any Time in History

We are now seeing the most euphoric stock stock market in history — a market as precariously perched as the one I laid out last January. “Market Euphoria Surpasses Dot Com Levels” says one headline. There is another way of putting it: extreme euphoria. Zero Hedge

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Stocks Got Trumped then Dumped then Rose Again Like Phoenix Rose for the Dems out of Republican Ashes

Election night and the day that followed became one more exhibition of irrational exuberance in the stock market and an omen of chaos to come. Early on election night in the US, stock futures soared as soon as it looked to many investors like Donald Trump would have a clear claim to a second term […]

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Halloween Madness Tears Stock Market to Shreds

Investors will start to realize the economy is not recovering in August, I said. As result, the stock market will break sometime in August or September, I said. It will likely experience an even bigger plunge as an October surprise, I said, because something about October loves a Halloweenish surprise for stocks.

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Today’s October Surprise Even Threw Crazy Cramer off a Cliff!

After saying the stock market’s rally today could best be explained by “the removal of uncertainty,” Jim Cramer got a hyuuge surprise out of a corner from which he least expected it. The surprise that moved the market was not, however, removal of the particular uncertainty that Cramer was talking about. It was removal of […]

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Tick, Tock Stock Drop

Since I’ve spent a fair amount of time on the US stock market of late, I won’t say much. Just taking a moment to note September just finished its fourth consecutive week down (final full week), maintaining a downtrend that began as we rolled over from August into September, setting up an October surprise.

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The Path by Which We Got Here

It wasn’t just COVID that got us down the road to ruin. Because many think we are in what looks like a post-apocalyptic world of rubble only because of COVID or because of Trump, I decided now would be a good time to summarize how predictably the Fed’s Great Recovery and Great Rewind got us […]

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