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Are You Sure We’re Not Sinking into Recession Already? Or has this ship already sunk?

I still beg to differ with those who say the plunge from a positive 6.9% GDP growth rate in the last quarter of 2021 to minus 1.4% in the first quarter of 2022 is just noise. “It’s just a passing anomaly,” they say. On the contrary, I am certain the anomaly was the 6.9% reported […]

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Why the Fed will fail to fight inflation until the recession beats it down

You cannot grow a turnip in a pile of dollar bills unless you let them rot first. Depending on the road the Fed takes, that could become the dollar’s highest value and the best the Fed can do to reduce food shortages. Whether the dollar decays depends, in good part, on whether the Fed chooses […]

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How Bad Was the Stock Crash for April Fools?

Well that didn’t take long. When GDP on Thursday morning revealed we are, in fact, crashing into recession, and the market flew like a released bird into the heavens, I noted in my last article that the market’s lunacy was just what I expected from delusional investors. That was a relief rally from the earlier […]

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“The Fed Finally Pushed the Stock Market Over the Edge”

So said Barron’s as the Dow dove almost 1,000 points on Friday and completed its fourth down week in a row. The Dow’s dive (981 points) was the worst since the Coronacrash in 2020. In two day’s time, it has fallen over 1300 points. Even before the big polar-bear plunge, stocks were seeing their worst […]

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Bond Vigilantes Riding Bonds in a Suicide Race to the Bottom of the Market!

And I’m kind of glad to see it happen. Having seen the bursting of the bond bubble coming, I stepped out of the way financially (no money in stocks or bond funds) to watch the plunge from the sidelines during what has turned suddenly into an epic plunge in bond prices (rise in yields).

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Seeing It All Come Together: Months of Predictions Closing in on Quick Collapse

Sometimes weeks happen in a day, and we seem to be living in such times. In my latest Patron Post I laid out how Putin’s War and the sanctions imposed by the West and other nations will cause a tectonic shift in the new world order. It’s already happening.

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How to Fix the Stock Market in Eight Simple Steps by ending the “Fix.”

The following is a comment I found on Zero Hedge. It says almost exactly what I would do with the stock market as the kind of REAL corrective action that needs to happen to fix the flaws in our economy, some of which I wrote about in my book Downtime.

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Passengers Scream Recession as Powell Dives His Plane for a Soft Nose-Cone Landing

Having written my own articles about how we are going into recession dead ahead, I want to back those up with the chorus of alarmed comments everywhere now about Powell is power-diving our economy straight into a recession.

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Oh, What a Difference a Day Makes

After hitting the highest official inflation rate in 40 years, bonds did exactly what I warned of in my last Patron Post where I said, The collapse of the Everything Bubble will be an economic supernova. Think Lehman Bros. and Bear Stearns and all the rest of what happened to cause the great recession, then […]

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How I Struck Out and Hit a Grand Slam with the Same Swing

This is my 777th post on this blog, although a couple of those are still in draft form. With this post I get to acknowledge something almost impossible. I struck out with my last post and knocked the ball out of the park. It was tempting to pull the post this morning and revise it, […]

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I Bet My Blog and Won: The Stock Market Collapse of 2022

In the first half of 2021, I bet my blog that the inflation I had been predicting would rise so hot through the year for so long that it would kill the stock market bull. It’s time to call the bet.

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