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US Bankruptcies Busting Out to Match 2009 Peak Mean Trouble for Stock Market

Bloomberg reported this week that thirteen US companies (in the 50-million-plus size) filed for bankruptcy last week. That brought the total for the big boys and girls this year to 117, which matches the record peak for the first half of a year set in 2009. The slew of bankruptcies also set a record in […]

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Recession Started Right on Time — Before Most Were Even Aware, So Beware!

Before we get into the timing of the recession, here is a graph that is particularly telling of the Fed’s journey and is worth studying from left to right. Notice how chaotic and less effective our journey with FedMed has become, just as I wrote about in another article this week (“Zero Hedge Confirms Fed […]

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Zero Hedge Confirms Fed is Dead

It is always good to have a statement from the coroner when pronouncing death as I did on May 19, 2020. That is when I gave time of death and pronounced “The Fed is Dead.” You especially want the second opinion when you’re talking about Feddie Krueger, who has more extra lives than a cat […]

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The Jobs Report Misunderstanding in a Nutshell: NO V-Shaped Recovery in Sight

The first graph gives you a glimpse of the “huge jobs rebound” that shocked the stock market into spurting past its 200 DMA barriers because retail investors and algos aren’t looking past the headlines. The second graph below shows you what a tiny difference that made to the total number of jobs that were lost:

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I Believe in the Stupidity of the Stock Market

I believe in it in the sense that I believe it will stupidly become even stupider for a short time. So, I’m putting money back into stocks in order to bet on stupid, not because I believe in a phantom V-shaped recovery, but because I constantly hear plenty of people do believe in the “V.”

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Bank of America is Wrong: We’ve All Become Preppers Now

Bank of America says it is dangerous to ignore the stock market, but a longer tradition says the bond market is the wiser of the two, and it is dangerous to ignore the bond market. Bank of America dreams corporate cash could roll into stocks.

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Worst US Jobs Report in History was Worse than Investors Think, but the Dow Loved it!

The Dow Jones (DJIA) last week ignored the worst US jobs report in history as if it were of no concern because investors hope the coronavirus crisis is here on a short-term stay. Some argue in the market’s defense that the Dow has already discounted bad jobs reports. I say investors have not even begun […]

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Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Bloodbath Should have Brought Monday Market Crash

But it didn’t. Many thought, as did I, Warren Buffett likely set up the next leg down in this ongoing stock market crash. At the Berkshire Hathaway 2020 annual meeting, Buffett admitted that even oracles make big mistakes.

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Fiercest Economic Collapse in History is Best Month for Stock Market

It was the best of times, it was the worst of times. April closed as the best month for the US stock market since the V-shaped recovery that followed the Black Monday stock market crash of 1987. April also delivered the deepest, broadest economic collapse of any month in history.

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Can Gilead Science’s Coronavirus Cure, Remdesivir, Save the Economy?

The US stock market leaped at the open on Friday because of late news yesterday about Gilead Sciences’ promising coronavirus cure, Remdesivir. Is the market’s response warranted? Is It Wishful To Think A Coronavirus Cure Can Save The Economy? One economist said today that the stock market already considers 2020 to be economic toast. It […]

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Wall Street Bulls Battle the Bears in Mother of All Recessions

FedMed proved dead awhile ago with the whole Bulls team looking dead on the field, until Team Trump, the owner’s club, joined Coach Powell. Then Powell’s coaching team upped its game; and, finally, the Wall Street Bulls revived. “Big deal!” the Bears now yell. “Let’s get back to playing ball!”

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If Bulls Had Wings They Could Fly; Without Them They’ll Die!

Today the bulls did it it again. This market remains deeply entrenched in denial, soaring even as unemployment soars higher toward the grand summits of the Great Depression and with certain knowledge that many jobs will not return.

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Gurus Gone Mad, Market Gone Gzonkers

By its close yesterday, the market provided exactly the example of the head slamming I said bulls were going to get in the article I was writing all day yesterday because the “Stock Market Bulls are Delusional in Face of Great Depression.” Monday’s stampede proved how utterly disconnected from reality the market’s bulls remain, and […]

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Stock Market Bulls Delusional in Face of Great Depression

Monday was nothing but a dead-bull bounce … after bounce … after bounce, which means there is plenty of punishment to come. Pure testosterone drove the market’s rise, fed by nothing but the weak premise that New York’s drop in the coronavirus death rate for a single night meant the worst is behind us.

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