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Big Bond Bubble Begins to Blow!

The bust is on! Not only is the stock market crashing like never seen before (Dow down 3,000 points today!), but there are now deeply distressing breaks in the bond market. These staggering responses to Fed actions run counter to what is expected; but people are so focused on stocks, the are missing the more […]

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FuBEAR! Stocks Crash into Bear Market Faster than 1929!

The bear roared today, ripping the ears off everyone, as the Dow and Russel 2000 both landed more than 20% below their last peak. Their 19-session rampage landed a record as the, steepest, fastest downhill bear run in the history of the US stock market.

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Dow Crashes 2,000 Points in Record Day! The Bear is at the Door.

Today was the greatest crash in Wall Street history by one measure, and took down many other milestones. The Dow plunged 2,012 points in its largest single-session drop on record! Percentage-wise it was down 7.8%, which still knocked out decades of lows, leading to “Black Monday” being the hot search term on Google today as […]

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Protected: What Will the Fed Do, Part Two

There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.

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Protected: What Will the Fed Do Now? Part One

There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.

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Stock Market Overmedicated on FedMed, Patient Goes into Cardiac Arrest

The Federal Reserve on Tuesday gave the market a double-dose of exactly what it thought the market needed, and the market just about died! On the theory that, if a little is good, more is better, the Fed gave a double cut of interest. It did not go as planned.

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The Economy was Already in the Toilet before COVID-19 Flushed it

The economy was already heaving in the toilet before COVID-19 dropped the lid on its head and sat on it. Sales, revenue, real earnings, manufacturing, and finally the services industry had all puked. Last week, stocks got the Great Flush as the market went down with the economy.

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Federal Reserve Monetizing US Debt Faster than its Previous Tightening

During its brief and utterly failed attempt to reduce its balance sheet (called quantitative tightening), the Federal Reserve only rolled off securities at a rate of $50 billion a month. It is now purchasing US treasuries at a rate of more than $55 billion a month:

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The Recession Called “Repocalypse”

There is, at least, one highly recognized economist who agrees with me that a recession started forming in the summer of 2019 and is still emerging, in spite of the Fed’s strongest efforts to stop it — David Rosenberg: We recall all too well the euphoria that followed the early 2001 and late 2007 Fed […]

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Sizing up the 2017-2020 Housing Cliff Hanger

The best time to size up the collapse in housing that I called almost two years ago will be when it is over — so we can visualize its full extent. Since it is now over by some measures, though not by others, this might be as good as we get for awhile as a […]

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The Big Reveal

My last Patron Post pulls together a couple of major revelations by piecing together a report from the Bank for International Settlements, a couple of fascinating exposès by Zero Hedge, and a recent document from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to reveal the actual close call with catastrophic failure that lay deep at […]

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Protected: Fed Fights Catastrophic Financial Collapse

There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.

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Stock Market More Overpriced and Perilous Than Anytime in History

I’m not going to predict when and how the US stock market will crash as I did by laying out the stages of its fall for 2018. That was easy, but the times are different now. Back then, the Fed had laid out a precise schedule for its tightening, and it was apparent to me […]

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Where Did the Housing Market Go, and Where is it Going Next? My first 2020 Economic Prediction

Since hindsight is 2020, I thought it might be useful now that we are far past the time in 2018 when I called the fall of the US housing market to assess where its journey went during the year and a half that has gone by before I venture a housing market prediction for 2020.

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