The Great Recession Blog

The sails are torn and fluttering fiercely like flags in a windstorm. The ship has stopped slicing through the waves, and its timbers are shuddering on the rocks. You can hear the stony teeth chewing into her planks, but the captain and crew are passing around sherry glasses and raising a toast to the fine […]

The Dow plunged 686 points midday on Thursday and closed down 458, wiping out a large relief rally from the day before, and it went down for the key reason I laid out for understanding why the Fed will over-tighten and drive the economy into an extremely deep recession. A batch of economic data that […]

“The LORD sends poverty and wealth; he humbles and he exalts.”– 1 Samuel 2:7 An enterprising entrepreneur did a comedic graphic of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell captioned: “IN JPOW WE TRUST.” You may have seen it.…

Today the market paid back some of its delusional holdings. It has a lot more left to pay back. You see, the market believed the Fed all of last year when the Fed said inflation was transitory. Or, at least, market leaders sold the Fed’s narrative, accelerating us into a heck of wreck.

Everyone in financial media is singing in unison, and the song they are all singing is a recessional for the recession — a hymn or musical piece sung while making an exit. It’s an attempt to make the recession recede from view, to talk it out of existence, to convince everyone that what is, is […]

Monday’s financial news was filled with fantasies about how Tuesday’s CPI report would be as boring for the stock market as watching the paint dry on Fed QT, but all that falderal didn’t even age one day without putrefying to a level of rancidness that would curl the nose hairs of most investors by Tuesday […]

Stocks soared, treasuries fell, and the message from Team Fed was “full speed ahead with tightening.” Where did all of Wednesday’s market lunacy come from? We leaped from “Bad news is good news” straight to “Bad news is AMAZING!” Every Fedhead who spoke in Wednesday’s planned lineup made it clear the Fed is dead-reckoning its […]

While I think the author of the following article places too much emphasis on oil, coal and gas shortages and costs as the primary cause of our economic decline, energy of all kinds (including hydro, nuclear, etc.) clearly plays a major role, so I think the article presents realistic concerns about the impact declining availability […]

Everyone seems to be caught in the same dark delusion, as I will be describing and explaining in this weekend’s Patron Post. MN Gordon also sees the foolishness and describes it as “the new dark ages,” an age of unreason where people fail to see the obvious due to the oblivious who tell them the […]

Bear-market rallies are always built on delusions. A breath of hope returns to the dying bulls, and all the testosterone and adrenaline rushes to their veins. There is typically no rationality to it. It is pure sentiment, so the rallies are strong, unthinking, and vicious toward anyone who shorted the market, making shorting a dangerous […]

“Look not to the Sword waving around to your front, but the Stiletto threatening your kidneys….” Everyone is balancing inflation and economic numbers. What if we are looking at the wrong things – and economic divergence, income and wealth inequality and unravelling domestic politics are the critical factors? 

The American people are being put in great danger by the false narrative on inflation and supply chains. The longer they’re led to believe the disaster will go away on its own, the less time they have to prepare. We’re facing a large and semi-chaotic disaster where people will be threatened with the loss of necessities like food […]