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ECONOMIC RECOVERY: A Dozen Doses of Real Medicine for Sustainable Economic Recovery

I spend much time criticizing the outlandish economic foolishness I see throughout the global economy and especially in the US economy (because the US economy is the one I am familiar with as a direct participant). Those who criticize need to be able to offer solutions. I have real, sustainable economic recovery ideas, but I […]

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The Beginning of the End: Great Recession 2.0 is Obscured but Here!

The Great Recession never ended. I say that because the deep economic flaws that caused it were never corrected. All recovery efforts since merely clouded our eyes to the problems growing larger around us, even making them worse, and now we are going back into the belly of the Great Recession.

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Sailing Through a Global Storm Without Enough Hot Air

As noted in my last article, “Fed Loses Control of its Benchmark Interest,” bank liquidity strains are written all over this month’s troubles. Some may find that hard to believe because there is so much hot air (fiat money) still floating the system from a historical standpoint. There is a sound fundamental reason, however, that […]

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Fed Loses Control of its Benchmark Interest: Repo Rates through the Roof!

Well, that didn’t take long! Four days ago, I stated the following in an article titled “Why are Bonds Going for Broke?“: Central banks are losing control, and are admitting they don’t even understand what is happening.

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BOND PRIMER: How the Fed’s Machinery Works

[This article attempts to provide an understanding of how the Fed governs interest rates (particularly via repos). If you understand it already, skip it; if you don’t, you may need it to understand the next article.] The Federal Reserve’s primary Machinery — the overnight interest rates between banks — broke down this past week. That […]

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Why are Bonds Going for Broke?

One argument for last week’s extraordinary plunge in bond prices, which I explored as something that might happen this time of year in one of my earlier Premium Posts, was that bond prices could get crushed by the supersized US treasury auctions planned for September and October as the government makes up for its inability […]

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Central Bankers Now Plotting Government Subversion?

Two weeks ago a former Federal Reserve board member and bank president, William Dudley, wrote an editorial that encouraged the Fed use its powers to defeat Donald Trump’s second bid for the US presidency. I don’t recall choosing presidents as being listed in the Fed’s two mandates — controlling inflation while maximizing employment. For an […]

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How’s That Recession Coming, Dave?

Pretty good if you ask me. Most economic indicators this year have moved relentlessly in the direction of recession, and now the Cass Freight Index is saying a US recession may start in the 3rd quarter, fitting up nicely to my prediction that we would be entering recession this summer.

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GDP Ain’t What it Used to Be!

Let me help remove the rose-colored glasses for anyone who still thinks GDP this year is good.  First, GDP growth in the first quarter was not “great” as I’ve heard some claiming. It was, by US historical standards, a little lower than mediocre. Second, the biggest tax cuts in history only got us down to […]

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And That’s How it All Came Down

On June 12, I wrote, The market is moving into waiting mode as the Fed’s next FOMC meeting where they have the opportunity to live up to the rate-cutting hopes they’ve raised come next week. As it does, it is forming that topping pattern that keeps repeating at this level. “Frothy Bubbles Make Me Whine“ […]

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Reading the Next Recession: Will the Great Recession 2.0 become The Great Depression II?

A journey in photos and facts to compare the present Great Recession with the past Great Depression to gain perspective on where we might be headed.

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The Fed’s Final Bullet Hits ‘Em in the Foot

The Fed’s missteps and flip-flops this week tripped up multiple markets. After accidentally announcing their ammo is down to one last bullet against recession, can they be trusted to handle powerful weapons?

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The Drip, Drip, Drip of Recession

News of significant recessionary drops in the US became as relentless this past week as the ping, ping, pang of drips from a leaking ceiling hitting pans in the New York Stock Exchange. I’ve been saying you would hear the sounds of recession everywhere as soon as the second-quarter earnings reporting season began this summer. […]

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“The Recession is Now”

The Federal Reserve knows we are in a failing economy, or it would not be holding town meetings all over the US to prepare the public for actions more extreme than we are used to seeing. Hear what the Fed is seeing fall around us and why it is rapidly switching back to recovery mode.

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