Not even close to transitory. After giving its turkey advice for Thanksgiving, the Federal Reserve finally gave up completely on the “Inflation is transitory” chorus it has been singing all year. Chairman Powell of the People’s Bank of Amerika stated outright today that inflation is not transitory after all, confirming what I have been preaching […]
Archive for November, 2021
Federal Reserve Finally Admits it was Wrong about Inflation — NOT Transitory!
Posted November 30, 2021 By David Haggith“Let them eat tofu”: Federal Reserve Combats Inflation at Thanksgiving with Unpardonable Diet Advice
Posted November 25, 2021 By David HaggithThe US central bank has apparently taken on a new mandate — being your dietary coach, advising Americans to fight the inflation it helped ignite by eating tofurkey and other soy-based foods for Thanksgiving, instead of turkey.
The Electric Kool Aid Stock Market Crash Test
Posted November 21, 2021 By David HaggithHow overpriced, overbought and out of touch with the overall economy is the US stock market? Let me tell you in pictures. First, let’s start with a comparison of stock prices to the US economy as it stands today: Based on Warren Buffet’s favorite indicator of stock-market over-or-under-valuation, the market is far more overvalued than […]
The Stock Market Does Have a Tipping Point Where Bond Interest and Inflation Both Matter A LOT
Posted November 20, 2021 By David HaggithWe have just entered those days of heady inflation that I have said will kill the stock market and bond funds. There is a tipping point at which inflation and the interest changes that respond to inflation matter, but it has never been a clearly defined point.
The Inflation Death Spiral has Begun: Inflation Hits Stocks, Bonds and Government Like a Bomb Cyclone
Posted November 11, 2021 By David HaggithOne or two dimwits told me I was stupid to be thinking inflation would be the driving force of 2021 due to shortages and Fed money printing. The cockiest one even assured me his second-grade education in economics said inflation wasn’t even happening, yet inflation has relentlessly surged higher every month to finally now hit […]
The Big Blindspot that Will Bite Bonds and Stocks in the Butt
Posted November 8, 2021 By David HaggithThe Fed finally begun its cautious taper and the market did not immediately self-destruct… but the consequences of 14 years of central bank experimentation, regulatory overkill and the ‘processification’ of markets will have consequences… they may be bleak…. When bond markets sneeze… equity markets can end up on ventilators, dragging confidence down in their wake. Bill […]
Warning Signs of Recession in GDP and Especially its Components
Posted November 5, 2021 By David HaggithA little virus and a big set of misguided responses to it are sinking the unsinkable world. While third-quarter GDP growth came in a little higher than the Atlanta Fed was predicting, it still came in below the consensus of economists, which averaged at 2.6%. The Bureau of Economic Analysis came out with 2.0%: