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This Tight Labor Market Actually Assures a Stagflation Recession
I try to point out risks I believe most people do not want to see or cannot see because they don’t fit the norm by which people construct their perception of reality. I am accustomed, therefore, to being scoffed at because I am out of step with the thinking of the time, and the majority […]
I Bet My Blog and Won: The Stock Market Collapse of 2022
In the first half of 2021, I bet my blog that the inflation I had been predicting would rise so hot through the year for so long that it would kill the stock market bull. It’s time to call the bet.
Stocks and Awe: The Federal Reserve Regime Change is Here!
The Everything Bubble is bursting, and the Fed has barely even begun its war on inflation. Many top stocks are already in their own bear markets. Nvidia, way off its game, has lost 25% of its value from its last high score. The ridiculously skyrocketing Tesla has plunged back toward earth’s gravity on a trajectory […]
The “Damned Lies” that Unemployment Tells
There are lies, damned lies, and statistics. –Mark Twain Do you ever see graphs like this one and wonder why the unemployment rate has almost completely normalized since the start of the COVID pandemic crash; and, yet, employers everywhere are griping that they cannot find enough help, and articles everywhere are reporting numerous supply shortages, […]
The Inflation Death Spiral has Begun: Inflation Hits Stocks, Bonds and Government Like a Bomb Cyclone
One or two dimwits told me I was stupid to be thinking inflation would be the driving force of 2021 due to shortages and Fed money printing. The cockiest one even assured me his second-grade education in economics said inflation wasn’t even happening, yet inflation has relentlessly surged higher every month to finally now hit […]
Protected: Fed-up and Failing: How FedMed Killed the Patient
There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.
You be the Judge of the Truthfulness of my Naysayers
Whenever I predict the market is going to crash or (as I recently have) that inflation is going to soar and then it does as I predicted, I get naysayers who claim — with no research to know what they are talking about — that I’m just a broken clock who happens to be right […]
I am Betting My Blog (Once Again) on My Inflation Predictions Being Right!
I’ve said inflation will rise much higher than the Fed believes and will persist much longer and that it will eventually kill the latest stock market bull and the economy. If these inflation predictions prove wrong, I’ll stop writing my blog. Simple as that. That is how firmly I believe what I am saying and […]
Protected: Why “Persistent Inflation” Will Become an Intense Fire Tornado, Greater Than the Fed Even Imagines
There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.
Protected: The Best Arguments Against “Persistent Inflation” Have it Wrong
There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.
Inflation’s Heat Signature Is All Over the Economic Map
Let’s look at what has continued to develop with inflation in the short time since my May articles on the subject because inflation is going to cause the Fed’s “Great Recovery” but burn up in its own incendiary blast. A rapid spread of fiery inflationary data lit up the landscape last week:
The Fed’s Argument That It’s Not Directly Financing Government Debt Finally Fails
The most interesting thing about what the Fed is now doing is that it is illegal. The Fed’s argument that it is not monetizing the US debt fails now on its own terms. The Fed is buying treasuries for no purpose other than to directly finance the government’s escalating debt. Here’s the deal:
