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Uncategorized Archive

List of 24 Points Pressing Hard toward Recession

Posted April 19, 2019 By David Haggith

The US stock market is slightly overbought (which is not a positive in terms of head room for more of a rally). It’s massively built up on debt that is now more expensive to maintain and/or obtain. The Fed is still rapidly tightening money supply and says it will continue to do so for several […]

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Yes, this is as far as they got, as far as true normalization ever will go. Central banks are more done than you might imagine they would ever admit! Yet, admit they do … in a major way. Powell gave big hints in his latest speech of what the “new normal” will have to be. […]

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Protected: Teasing out the Fed’s Big Plan for our Future

Posted April 12, 2019 By David Haggith
This work is in the public domain in the United States because it is a work prepared by an officer or employee of the United States Government as part of that person’s official duties under the terms of Title 17, Chapter 1, Section 105 of the US Code. See Copyright.

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The Two Stooges of Finance: Larry and Moore

Posted April 1, 2019 By David Haggith
Larry Kudlow by Gage Skidmore [CC BY-SA 3.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

Laughable Larry Kudlow, as high priest of the Laffer Curve, has long been servant of “King Dollar,” as Larry has often reverently referred to US currency. The Laffer Curve is the central creed of trickle-down economics. It’s a bell-curve that demonstrates how lowering tax rates actually increases tax revenue to a certain point by stimulating […]

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By 95 b-body ss [CC BY-SA 3.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0)], from Wikimedia Commons

For brick and mortar stores, the Retail Apocalypse is closing stores down like a slow-motion video of the asteroid event that took out dinosaurs 66 million years ago. While it may seem to drag on as we watch various species of retail collapse, I originally said this event would take, at least, three years (through […]

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, the face of socialist revolution in America

Socialism is the price Capitalism pays for unrestrained and unpunished greed, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the new face of Socialism in America. AOC refers to her Socialist revolution — for now wrapped up in the Green New Deal before congress — as the “politics of optimism,” and so it is. That’s because Socialism is the […]

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A Week in the Life of a Topsy-Turvy Wildly Whirling World

Posted March 9, 2019 By David Haggith
By Germán Torreblanca (Own work) [CC BY-SA 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

Let’s review this past devilishly whacky week to see if we can divine the way the world is turning and why the markets are churning. It was 2019’s worst week in stocks and, well, just about everything economic all across this crazily spinning planet. Volatility lifted its head back out of the water like Loch […]

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US Budget Deficit and Interest Take Trip to the Moon

Posted March 6, 2019 By David Haggith
NASA [Public domain]

In my first Premium Post back in January, “2019 Economic Headwinds Look Like Storm of the Century,” I laid out sixteen major headwinds that would be howling against the economy this year. One of those was the government debt, which I said was about to skyrocket: If you thought the government deficit exploded last year […]

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Protected: Credit Crisis Cruising Toward Collapse

Posted March 3, 2019 By David Haggith
Published in the US before 1923 and public domain in the US. Used to represent people piling up America's national debt.

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More Evidence that the Bears Have it Dead Right

Posted February 25, 2019 By David Haggith

In my last article, “The Bears Have it Right: Economy went Polar Opposite of Bullish Predictions,” I laid out my first prediction for 2019 — a recession by summer. I don’t want the following revelations and facts that I have since come across to get lost in comments I recently posted to that article, so […]

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Bears, like myself, picked the meat off market bulls throughout 2018. We scoffed at the start of the year when bulls concocted a narrative that said bears would starve because 2018 was going to be the year of “global synchronize growth.” We bears bawled that this was euphoric nonsense. Global economies fell off a cliff […]

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Carmageddon keeps on rolling

We now know that the Retail Apocalypse took another trip downhill during the all-important holiday season. December reports show retail sales declined more in one month than they have since … the Great Recession. Notice what a common refrain that comparison has become. Retail Apocalypse snowballs downhill Retail sales dropped 1.2% month-over-month in December, the […]

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Housing Market Crash 2.0: The Jury is in for 2018-2019

Posted February 10, 2019 By David Haggith
The 2018-2-19 Housing Market Crash 2.0 is just getting started.

As happened with the first housing market crash that began in 2007 but didn’t become widely recognized until mid-2008, the present housing crisis began exploding one story at a time last summer, and this blog was perhaps the first to state that summer’s change was the turning point from decades of ascent into a collapse […]

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Here is a single chart that proves how completely the Fed’s end-game for its recovery failed, which means the fake recovery, itself, is failing. It’s not hard to figure out what happened here. Talk about a euphoric rise at the end of the Trump Rally heading into 2018, followed immediately by a massive blow-off top. […]

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